Why do deals with real pain still end in "no decision"?
For a few weeks I kept changing the settings on our office building's coffee machine. The nerd in me couldn't resist. When you pick a drink, the machine asks how strong you want it brewed, from one (very weak) to five (very strong), so every few days I'd move the setting and then check it a few times a day.
People brewed their coffee on whatever level I'd left it on. Every time. Hot bean water or motor oil, they didn't change it.
Which is exactly why deals with a solid financial case still end in "no decision." People stay on the path they're put on, even when it's worse than the alternative, and your buyer's default path is to keep doing what they're already doing. So at quarter end, the instinct is to manufacture some urgency ("We've got two days to close 20% of our revenue goal, get after it!"), and out come the one-time discounts and exploding offers.
The urgency that moves a deal is already inside the account. So this is about finding it, testing whether it's real, and strengthening it when it's weak, or admitting it isn't there yet.
What is a compelling event in sales?
It's a deadline your buyer would have to hit even if you'd never called: a regulation that takes effect on a set date, an expansion launch that's already announced, or an executive mandate with a board commitment behind it. You discover it with them, because you can't invent one that holds.
A real one has three parts:
- A specific deadline tied to a business event. "Sometime this year" and "Q4" don't count.
- A measurable cost of missing it, in dollars or lost opportunity the buyer can say out loud.
- A named owner who'll be held accountable for the outcome.
And test it before you build anything on it: if you removed yourself from the conversation entirely, would they still need to solve this by that date? If not, the date belongs to your quarter.
Why can't you just create urgency with a discount?
Sometimes you can, at the very end. If a buyer has made the decision and just needs a reason to sign today instead of next week, they'll happily take the offer. Before that point, an exploding discount mostly tells them your top priority is getting paid.
So separate the two kinds of urgency:
- External urgency comes from you: the end-of-month offer, the free services, the payment terms that expire Friday.
- Internal urgency already exists inside your buyer. It's rooted in the pressures and incentives that matter most to them, the type of unbearable thought they have to resolve as soon as possible.
External urgency believes sales moves at the speed of gamesmanship, while internal urgency moves at the speed of human relationships, and it's the only kind that holds up across a long cycle.
Which is why I split my meeting notes into two columns. Functional pains set up product features. Internal pains (the board meeting, the reputation on the line, the target someone already missed once) create urgency. When a buyer goes quiet late in the cycle, I write the follow-up from both columns:
Subject: Just Thinking
Hey, [Name]. I was just thinking about what you shared during one of our earlier conversations. That it's been tough to [functional problem], which led to [strategic problem], and left you feeling [source of internal urgency]. If you're still working on this, our success team and I came up with an idea for you. Here's a preview. Up for a quick call to walk you through it?
Now compare that to an email I got while I was evaluating a new platform for my own team:
"We initially spoke a month ago, then on the 14th, and agreed to book a next steps call. Unfortunately, I haven't been able to book that; and as you know, being in sales, one of our jobs is to relentlessly qualify a partnership, no matter where in the sales cycle. Let me know if this is still top of mind."
Not the most egregious email I've ever read. But it largely reads, "Hey, you agreed to meet me, but you didn't, so help me do my job, because it's not too late for me to cut you loose." Which of those two is more likely to get a follow-up booked?
How do you find a real compelling event?
Most buyers give you the surface answer first, so keep asking "why now?" until you hit the consequence underneath. Think of it as a ladder you climb down, one question per rung. With a customer experience leader, it might sound like this:
- Surface: What they say: "We need to improve customer experience."; What you ask next: Why is that urgent right now?
- Symptom: What they say: "Our NPS dropped 12 points last quarter."; What you ask next: What's driving that, and what happens if it keeps falling?
- Impact: What they say: "Churn is up 8%. We're missing retention targets."; What you ask next: Who owns that target? What happens if they miss it again?
- Consequence: What they say: "Our VP of CX presents to the board in Q3."; What you ask next: What does she need to show, and what's her plan without an answer?
- Bedrock: What they say: "If she can't show progress, the CEO pulls the budget."; What you ask next: That's the compelling event.
The bedrock answer usually comes from your internal-pains column, which is one more reason to keep it.
Which compelling events are strongest?
Regulatory deadlines sit at the top, and a renewal date on its own sits at the bottom:
- Regulatory or compliance: What it looks like: A non-negotiable deadline with real penalties; Strength: Very strong
- Pain escalation: What it looks like: A process breaking at scale, with bad decisions piling up; Strength: Strong
- Competitive pressure: What it looks like: Lost share, or a competitor launching something new; Strength: Strong, if it's tied to revenue
- Executive mandate: What it looks like: New leadership declares it a priority, tied to board commitments; Strength: Medium to strong
- Cost rationalization: What it looks like: Finance pressure to cut vendors or prove ROI; Strength: Medium
- Contract expiration: What it looks like: An incumbent renewal opens a window; Strength: Weak on its own
A renewal opens a window to consider a change, but it rarely creates urgency by itself, so pair it with one of the stronger types above before you build a timeline on it.
How do you know the urgency is real?
Run five questions. If you can't answer yes to at least three, you don't have real urgency yet:
- Is there a specific date tied to a business event?
- Does inaction have a measurable cost the buyer can name?
- Has budget been allocated, or defended by someone who fought for it?
- Will someone be promoted, fired, or publicly evaluated on the outcome?
- Have they already changed behavior: moved meetings, pulled in resources, briefed their executives?
Lots of meetings and fast replies feel like momentum, which is why the fifth question is about behavior. If it's been six weeks and nobody has scheduled the CFO meeting, the urgency is performative.
Watch for two phrases, too:
- "Internal alignment" = a delay. On one enterprise deal, the buyer was "still aligning on a few planning items" one month, "aligning internally on our go-forward strategy" the next, and had "decided not to move forward" two months after that. When you hear it, ask what specifically needs to align, who's part of that, and by when.
- High courtesy + low commitment = deflection. "I genuinely appreciate the transparency," followed by silence, is a politeness signal (polite buyers are often the hardest to move).
What do you do when the urgency is weak?
Start by scoring it honestly, from 1 to 10, against what the buyer has actually done:
- 9-10: What's true: Specific date, committed exec, approved budget, several people engaged, and behavior already changed; Your move: Remove every obstacle and get it signed
- 6-8: What's true: A clear driver and a timeline, a champion who can sell it, and budget that's likely; Your move: Coach your champion, build the business case, and quantify the cost of delay
- 3-5: What's true: The problem is real, but the timing is soft, there's no deadline, and budget hasn't started; Your move: Nurture it, don't chase it
- 1-2: What's true: No timeline, no budget, and no one can say what doing nothing costs; Your move: Step back politely and stay helpful
Then find the missing factor. Kathie Dannemiller's version of the formula for change says change happens when dissatisfaction, vision, and first steps multiply into something bigger than resistance. I use a variation of it built for deals:
Urgency = (Dissatisfaction × Vision × Clear first steps) ÷ Priority
Because the top line multiplies, any factor at zero takes the whole thing to zero, so a great vision with no clear first steps still stalls. And priority is the denominator: if your project is #5 on the executive's list, everything you built gets divided by five. Which is why three product lines selling separately into one account tend to land as items #4, #5, and #6. Braid them into one story tied to the executive's #1 priority, and you're working with the full numerator again.
Some deals are simply early, by the way, so think about the season your buyer is in:
- Spring buyers are just waking up to the problem, and they may need twice your typical cycle.
- Summer buyers feel it heating up, and they're in the middle of the curve.
- Fall buyers are out of time, and your risk is moving too slowly for them.
Now, set every close date to the latest likely date, and move it up only when the buyer's behavior earns it.
What does this look like on a stalled deal?
"We don't have bandwidth to onboard." That's what one enterprise team kept hearing from a multi-location consumer brand. The brand was growing into new markets, its current vendor's contract was up at the end of the year, and data errors were showing up across its locations.
Run it through the five questions and you get one yes. There was a date, but it was a renewal, the weakest type on the list. Nobody had put a cost on the errors or on waiting, no budget was in motion, the only person engaged was the manager who dealt with the problem day to day, and nothing about their behavior had changed. That's a 4: real problem, soft timing.
Three moves could have raised it:
- Tie it to a stronger date. Ask what happens to the new-market launches if the errors are still there on opening day.
- Anchor the timeline to their renewal. Work back from the performance data they'd want in hand before negotiating with the incumbent, so the go-live date protects their negotiating position.
- Take it up a level. Frame the errors as a revenue problem during their biggest expansion, and ask to bring the operations leader who owns that expansion into the next conversation.
"Isn't 'creating urgency' just pressure with better manners?"
It is if you're inventing the date. But the board meeting, the regulatory deadline, and the expansion launch all exist whether you show up or not, and your job is to help the buyer connect their own date to the problem.
And when the test fails, the honest move is to slow down. There seems to be a universal rule in sales that the more you cling to a deal, the more likely you are to lose it, and the less you need it, the more it seems to work out.
Your move this week
- Pick three open deals at the same stage, and ask whether they're in the same season.
- On the one with the softest close date, climb the ladder on your next call, and score it from 1 to 10.
- Reset every close date to the latest likely date.
Once you've found the date, build the plan backward from it with a mutual action plan, put it in the headline of your business case, and open the first sentence of your soundbite with the change behind it.